Primera División · Clausura - 11
UCV MoqueguavsCienciano
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 8 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División
- Venue
- Estadio 25 de Noviembre
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano: match review and analysis
UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano in Primera División on 8 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
UCV Moquegua recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 17. Cienciano recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 17 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | UCV Moquegua | Cienciano |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
UCV Moquegua: (0.57 weighted goals scored + 1.90 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cienciano: (1.52 weighted goals scored + 2.02 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.77 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
UCV Moquegua recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Pablo II CollegePrimera División | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Sporting CristalPrimera División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CuscoPrimera División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Alianza AtleticoPrimera División | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| ADTCopa De La Liga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Sport HuancayoPrimera División | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sport BoysPrimera División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportivo GarcilasoPrimera División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FBC MelgarPrimera División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| UTC CajamarcaPrimera División | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from UCV Moquegua’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cienciano recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ADTPrimera División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Atletico TorqueCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Atletico TorqueCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC CajamarcaPrimera División | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| CuscoPrimera División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sport BoysPrimera División | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| BotafogoCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Deportivo GarcilasoPrimera División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BotafogoCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Home | 6–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Cienciano’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Cienciano are ranked 7 in Primera Division: Tabla Anual, with 41 points from 27 games.
UCV Moquegua are ranked 17 in Primera Division: Tabla Anual, with 25 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 |
| 2 | Universitario | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 49 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 48 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | Cusco | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 40 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 38 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 35 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 32 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | ADT | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 25 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 15 |
Cienciano are ranked 3 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 33 points from 17 games.
UCV Moquegua are ranked 14 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 18 points from 17 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 16 |
Cienciano are ranked 14 in Primera Division: Clausura, with 8 points from 10 games.
UCV Moquegua are ranked 16 in Primera Division: Clausura, with 7 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atletico | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | Alianza Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 8 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 | ADT | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 5 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.