Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · Group 8 - 5
UD Santa Marta2–0Cultural Leonesa II
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–0
- 90-minute score
- 2–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
UD Santa Marta vs Cultural Leonesa II: match review and analysis
UD Santa Marta vs Cultural Leonesa II in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
UD Santa Marta recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Cultural Leonesa II recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 11 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | UD Santa Marta | Cultural Leonesa II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
UD Santa Marta: (1.31 weighted goals scored + 0.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cultural Leonesa II: (0.98 weighted goals scored + 1.07 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
UD Santa Marta recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salamanca UDSCopa Federacion | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Colegios DiocesanosTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| BergantiñosCopa Federacion | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| VillaralboTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| VimenorCopa Federacion | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ArandinaTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atlético TordesillasFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GuijueloTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GuijueloTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from UD Santa Marta’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cultural Leonesa II recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos PromesasTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Colegios DiocesanosTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sporting Gijón IIFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Atlético MansillésTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atlético TordesillasTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Numancia IITercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Cristo AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| VillaralboTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Cultural Leonesa II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
UD Santa Marta are ranked 2 in Tercera: Group 8, with 12 points from 5 games.
Cultural Leonesa II are ranked 6 in Tercera: Group 8, with 10 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burgos Promesas | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | UD Santa Marta | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Atlético Mansillés | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bembibre | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Cristo Atlético | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Cultural Leonesa II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | La Virgen del Camino | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Arandina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Almazán | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Palencia CF | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Calasanz de Soria | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Villaralbo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 | Salamanca II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 | Guijuelo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Turégano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 | Unionistas II | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 |
| 17 | Mirandés II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Colegios Diocesanos | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.