Derde Divisie · Regular Season - 9
UDI '19vsDongen
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Derde Divisie
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
UDI '19 vs Dongen: match review and analysis
UDI '19 vs Dongen in Derde Divisie on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
UDI '19 recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 12. Dongen recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 25 scored and 22 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | UDI '19 | Dongen |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 22 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
UDI '19: (1.94 weighted goals scored + 2.32 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.13 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Dongen: (2.36 weighted goals scored + 1.48 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
UDI '19 recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOESDerde Divisie | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| RijnvogelsDerde Divisie | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Sparta NijkerkKNVB Beker | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| GemertDerde Divisie | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EVVDerde Divisie | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| ZwaluwenDerde Divisie | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rkvv SpartaanKNVB Beker | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| TOGBDerde Divisie | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| VvsbDerde Divisie | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Excelsior MaassluisDerde Divisie | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from UDI '19’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Dongen recent form
2.50 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PoortugaalDerde Divisie | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| UNADerde Divisie | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Blauw GeelDerde Divisie | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| GOESDerde Divisie | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| RijnvogelsDerde Divisie | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| JOS WatergraafsmeerKNVB Beker | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| GemertDerde Divisie | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| EVVDerde Divisie | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| ZwaluwenDerde Divisie | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| HeerjansdamDerde Divisie - Relegation Round | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Dongen’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Derde Divisie — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
UDI '19 are ranked 5 in Derde Divisie, with 14 points from 8 games.
Dongen are ranked 7 in Derde Divisie, with 13 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior '31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 19 |
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 7 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | ACV | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | FC Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | SC Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | UDI '19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | Sportlust '46 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | ADO '20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 5 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Dovo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 5 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 3 |
| 15 | Vvsb | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 1 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 | SVZW | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 1 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.