Friendlies · Friendly International
Uganda1–1Congo DR
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Friendlies
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Cards
No cards in the latest saved events.
Events updated
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Uganda vs Congo DR: match review and analysis
Uganda vs Congo DR in Friendlies on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Uganda recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Congo DR recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 10 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Uganda | Congo DR |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Uganda: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 1.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.13 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Congo DR: (1.10 weighted goals scored + 1.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.22 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Uganda recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Congo DRFriendlies | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| LibyaAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| TunisiaAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NigeriaAfrica Cup of Nations | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| TanzaniaAfrica Cup of Nations | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TunisiaAfrica Cup of Nations | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| MoroccoFriendlies | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| ChadFriendlies | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| AlgeriaWorld Cup - Qualification Africa | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BotswanaWorld Cup - Qualification Africa | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Uganda’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Congo DR recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UgandaFriendlies | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ZimbabweAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Equatorial GuineaAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| EnglandWorld Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| UzbekistanWorld Cup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| ColombiaWorld Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PortugalWorld Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ChileFriendlies | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| DenmarkFriendlies | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| JamaicaWorld Cup - Qualification Intercontinental Play-offs | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Congo DR’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Friendlies — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.