Ukraine U212–2Albania U21

Real Scored match analysis

Ukraine U21 vs Albania U21: match review and analysis

Ukraine U21 vs Albania U21 in Friendlies on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–2. Review the team form and league context below.

Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.

Ukraine U21 recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 17. Albania U21 recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Ukraine U21: (1.12 weighted goals scored + 1.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Albania U21: (1.16 weighted goals scored + 1.58 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.