FKF Premier League · Regular Season - 1
Ulinzi StarsvsTusker
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FKF Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker: match review and analysis
Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker in FKF Premier League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Ulinzi Stars recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Tusker recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 8 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ulinzi Stars | Tusker |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ulinzi Stars: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 1.11 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Tusker: (0.91 weighted goals scored + 0.88 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ulinzi Stars recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Posta Rangers FCFKF Premier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| TuskerFKF Premier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Mathare UnitedFKF Premier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| AFC LeopardsFKF Premier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ShabanaFKF Premier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TuskerShield Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BandariFKF Premier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| KCBFKF Premier League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| HomeboyzShield Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| APS BometFKF Premier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ulinzi Stars’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Tusker recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli Wad MedaniCAF Confederation Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Al Ahli Wad MedaniCAF Confederation Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| KVZCECAFA Club Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Rayon SportsCECAFA Club Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Al Hilal OmdurmanCECAFA Club Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PoliceShield Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| APS BometFKF Premier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ulinzi StarsFKF Premier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BandariFKF Premier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KCBShield Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Tusker’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FKF Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ulinzi Stars are ranked 2 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
Tusker are ranked 3 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mathare United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ulinzi Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Tusker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | GOR Mahia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | AFC Leopards | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | KCB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Posta Rangers FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Bandari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Homeboyz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Police | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Migori Youth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Shabana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | APS Bomet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Murang'a SEAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Mombasa Elite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Mara Sugar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Nairobi United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 3K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.