Ettan - Norra · Norra - 25
Umeå FC2–1Hammarby Talang
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ettan - Norra
- Venue
- Umea Energi Arena
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Umeå FC vs Hammarby Talang: match review and analysis
Umeå FC vs Hammarby Talang in Ettan - Norra on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Umeå FC recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 16. Hammarby Talang recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 12 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Umeå FC | Hammarby Talang |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Umeå FC: (1.28 weighted goals scored + 1.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hammarby Talang: (1.05 weighted goals scored + 1.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Umeå FC recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBK KarlstadEttan - Norra | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| StocksundEttan - Norra | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| PiteåEttan - Norra | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Stockholm InternazionaleEttan - Norra | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| ArlandaEttan - Norra | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| VasalundEttan - Norra | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| EnköpingEttan - Norra | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gefle IFEttan - Norra | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AFC EskilstunaEttan - Norra | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| AFC EskilstunaEttan - Norra | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Umeå FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Hammarby Talang recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StocksundEttan - Norra | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ArlandaEttan - Norra | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| VasalundEttan - Norra | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SollentunaEttan - Norra | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Stockholm InternazionaleEttan - Norra | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| KarlbergEttan - Norra | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PiteåEttan - Norra | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AFC EskilstunaEttan - Norra | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FBK KarlstadEttan - Norra | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ArlandaEttan - Norra | Home | 5–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Hammarby Talang’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ettan - Norra — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Hammarby Talang are ranked 4 in North, with 45 points from 25 games.
Umeå FC are ranked 9 in North, with 32 points from 25 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockholm Internazionale | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 60 | 20 | 40 | 57 |
| 2 | Arlanda | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | AFC Eskilstuna | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 47 |
| 4 | Hammarby Talang | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 45 |
| 5 | FBK Karlstad | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 43 |
| 6 | Enköping | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
| 7 | IF Karlstad | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 41 |
| 8 | Assyriska FF | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 32 |
| 9 | Umeå FC | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Karlberg | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | Gefle IF | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 30 |
| 12 | Vasalund | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Sollentuna | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 24 |
| 14 | Piteå | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 22 |
| 15 | Järfälla | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 55 | -22 | 19 |
| 16 | Stocksund | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 15 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.