Liga 3 · Regular Season - 6
União SantarémvsLusitano Évora 1911
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga 3
- Venue
- Campo Cha das Padeiras
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
União Santarém vs Lusitano Évora 1911: match review and analysis
União Santarém vs Lusitano Évora 1911 in Liga 3 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
União Santarém recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 14. Lusitano Évora 1911 recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 8 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | União Santarém | Lusitano Évora 1911 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
União Santarém: (1.47 weighted goals scored + 1.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.29 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lusitano Évora 1911: (0.77 weighted goals scored + 1.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
União Santarém recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MerelinenseTaça de Portugal | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| LouletanoLiga 3 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| CaldasLiga 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CF Os BelenensesLiga 3 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| OliveirenseLiga 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SC CovilhaLiga 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AcademicaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| VarzimLiga 3 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AmaranteLiga 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CF Os BelenensesLiga 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from União Santarém’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lusitano Évora 1911 recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC CovilhaLiga 3 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LouletanoLiga 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CF Os BelenensesTaça de Portugal | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MafraLiga 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CaldasLiga 3 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Atlético CPLiga 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| EstrelaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Benfica BFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atlético CPLiga 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AmoraLiga 3 | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Lusitano Évora 1911’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Lusitano Évora 1911 are ranked 7 in Liga 3, with 5 points from 5 games.
União Santarém are ranked 9 in Liga 3, with 4 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Leça | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 4 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | São João Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | União Santarém | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 4 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.