Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Group 7 - 6
Unión AdarvevsMóstoles
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Unión Adarve vs Móstoles: match review and analysis
Unión Adarve vs Móstoles in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Unión Adarve recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 13. Móstoles recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 11 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Unión Adarve | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Unión Adarve: (1.71 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Móstoles: (1.16 weighted goals scored + 1.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.33 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Unión Adarve recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| FuenlabradaTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Colonia MoscardóTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SS Reyes IITercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| MarchamaloFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Getafe IIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Racing MadridTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Unión Adarve’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Móstoles recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Cala PozueloTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| FuenlabradaTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| A Madrid IIITercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Villanueva PardilloTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 3–5 | Lost | |
| Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Móstoles’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Móstoles are ranked 3 in Tercera: Group 7, with 11 points from 5 games.
Unión Adarve are ranked 11 in Tercera: Group 7, with 6 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colonia Moscardó | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Móstoles | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Las Rozas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Cala Pozuelo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | RC Alcobendas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Galapagar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Fuenlabrada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Leganés II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Torrejón | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Unión Adarve | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Pozuelo Alarcón | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Parla Escuela | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Alcobendas Sport | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Aranjuez | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | SS Reyes II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
| 17 | Villanueva Pardillo | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.