First Amateur Division · ACFF - 7
Union Saint-Gilloise II4–2RWDM
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- First Amateur Division
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–2
- 90-minute score
- 4–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Union Saint-Gilloise II vs RWDM: match review and analysis
Union Saint-Gilloise II vs RWDM in First Amateur Division on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Union Saint-Gilloise II recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 9. RWDM recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 16 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Union Saint-Gilloise II | RWDM |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Union Saint-Gilloise II: (1.22 weighted goals scored + 1.32 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
RWDM: (1.48 weighted goals scored + 0.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Union Saint-Gilloise II recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TubizeFirst Amateur Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Standard Liège IIFirst Amateur Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Olympic CharleroiFirst Amateur Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Habay-la-NeuveFirst Amateur Division | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| MeuxFirst Amateur Division | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| RochefortFirst Amateur Division | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Stockay-WarfuséeFirst Amateur Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Crossing SchaerbeekFirst Amateur Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Standard Liège IIFirst Amateur Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Union NamurFirst Amateur Division | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Union Saint-Gilloise II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
RWDM recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RochefortFirst Amateur Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MeuxFirst Amateur Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sporting Charleroi IIFirst Amateur Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| OnhayeFirst Amateur Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| FlénuFirst Amateur Division | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Habay-la-NeuveFirst Amateur Division | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| KRC Genk IIFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–6 | Lost | |
| KortrijkChallenger Pro League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| RSC Anderlecht IIChallenger Pro League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Lommel UnitedChallenger Pro League | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from RWDM’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First Amateur Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
RWDM are ranked 2 in National Division 1, with 16 points from 7 games.
Union Saint-Gilloise II are ranked 5 in National Division 1, with 11 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meux | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | RWDM | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Rochefort | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Tubize | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Union Saint-Gilloise II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Albert Quévy-Mons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sporting Charleroi II | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Olympic Charleroi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
| 9 | Standard Liège II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Onhaye | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
| 11 | Habay-la-Neuve | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 12 | Flénu | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.