Primera División · Regular Season - 24
Half-time
Universidad de Chile2–0Nublense
RealScored · Live match
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División
- Venue
- Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos
- Status
- Halftime
- Score
- 2–0
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Universidad de Chile vs Nublense: match review and analysis
Universidad de Chile vs Nublense in Primera División on 12 October 2026 is in progress. The latest saved score is 2–0. Scores and match status refresh automatically.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Universidad de Chile recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 11. Nublense recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 11 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Universidad de Chile | Nublense |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Universidad de Chile: (1.64 weighted goals scored + 1.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Nublense: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 1.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Universidad de Chile recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AntofagastaCopa Chile | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Everton de VinaCopa Chile | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Everton de VinaCopa Chile | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| D. La SerenaPrimera División | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Coquimbo UnidoPrimera División | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Universidad de ConcepcionPrimera División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Colo ColoPrimera División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Deportes LimachePrimera División | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| PalestinoPrimera División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Union San FelipeCopa Chile | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Universidad de Chile’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Nublense recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Puerto MonttCopa Chile | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| D. Puerto MonttCopa Chile | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Everton de VinaPrimera División | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| D. La SerenaPrimera División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Deportes LimachePrimera División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ConcepciónPrimera División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| U. CatolicaPrimera División | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Union La CaleraPrimera División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| A. ItalianoPrimera División | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Rangers de TalcaCopa Chile | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Nublense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Universidad de Chile are ranked 3 in Primera División, with 42 points from 23 games.
Nublense are ranked 9 in Primera División, with 32 points from 23 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 54 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 42 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 34 |
| 7 | Coquimbo Unido | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Concepción | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 32 |
| 9 | Nublense | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 32 |
| 10 | Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 | D. La Serena | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | A. Italiano | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 18 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.