Premier League · Regular Season - 5
URAvsKCCA
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Hamz Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
URA vs KCCA: match review and analysis
URA vs KCCA in Premier League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
URA recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 12. KCCA recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 11 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | URA | KCCA |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
URA: (1.03 weighted goals scored + 0.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.91 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
KCCA: (0.87 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.06 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
URA recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NECPremier League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| SC VillaPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MaroonsPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Buhimba SaintsPremier League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| KCCAPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CalvaryPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| VipersPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MaroonsPremier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| UPDFPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PolicePremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from URA’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
KCCA recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KatakaPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Kigezi HomeBoyzPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ExpressPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| NECPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Mbarara CityPremier League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| URAPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| UPDFPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| MaroonsPremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| VipersPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CalvaryPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from KCCA’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
KCCA are ranked 12 in Regular Season, with 4 points from 4 games.
URA are ranked 14 in Regular Season, with 3 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | SC Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | NEC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 10 |
| 4 | Blacks Power | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Police | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Entebbe UPPC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Maroons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Lugazi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 9 | Kitara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | UPDF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Express | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | KCCA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Vipers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | URA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Ntugasaze | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Mbarara City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Kataka | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.