Second League - Group 4 · Group 4 - 6
Ural II1–2Nosta
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Second League - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ural II vs Nosta: match review and analysis
Ural II vs Nosta in Second League - Group 4 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Ural II recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 22. Nosta recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 17 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ural II | Nosta |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ural II: (1.33 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.20 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Nosta: (1.62 weighted goals scored + 2.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.85 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ural II recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelyabinsk IISecond League - Group 4 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| IzhevskSecond League - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Orenburg IISecond League - Group 4 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NostaSecond League - Group 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rubin Kazan 2Second League - Group 4 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Rubin Kazan 2Second League - Group 4 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| NostaSecond League - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dinamo BarnaulSecond League - Group 4 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Akron IISecond League - Group 4 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Pobeda Nizhniy NovgorodSecond League - Group 4 | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ural II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Nosta recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orenburg IISecond League - Group 4 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Chelyabinsk IISecond League - Group 4 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Rubin Kazan 2Second League - Group 4 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ural IISecond League - Group 4 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| IzhevskSecond League - Group 4 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FK Sokol SaratovCup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Pobeda Nizhniy NovgorodSecond League - Group 4 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Ural IISecond League - Group 4 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Khimik DzerzhinskCup | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Chelyabinsk IISecond League - Group 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Nosta’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Second League - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ural II are ranked 9 in Urals, with 22 points from 22 games.
Nosta are ranked 11 in Urals, with 18 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 57 | 16 | 41 | 56 |
| 2 | KDV | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 43 |
| 4 | Akron II | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 32 |
| 5 | Krylya Sovetov II | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 27 |
| 6 | Dinamo Barnaul | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 26 |
| 7 | Orenburg II | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 26 |
| 8 | Izhevsk | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Ural II | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 | Rubin Kazan 2 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
| 11 | Nosta | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 18 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk II | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 17 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.