Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 4
USM AnnabavsUS Chaouia
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ligue 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
USM Annaba vs US Chaouia: match review and analysis
USM Annaba vs US Chaouia in Ligue 2 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
USM Annaba recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 7. US Chaouia recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 13 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | USM Annaba | US Chaouia |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
USM Annaba: (1.14 weighted goals scored + 0.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
US Chaouia: (1.04 weighted goals scored + 0.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
USM Annaba recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paradou ACLigue 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| KhroubLigue 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NC MagraLigue 2 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| CA BatnaLigue 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| MO BejaiaLigue 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| JS JijelLigue 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MO ConstantineLigue 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CR Béni ThourLigue 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| US BiskraLigue 2 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| IB Khémis El KhechnaLigue 2 | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from USM Annaba’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
US Chaouia recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KhroubLigue 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NC MagraLigue 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Nrb Beni OulbeneLigue 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TémouchentLigue 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Usm El HarrachLigue 2 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| US BiskraLigue 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| JS JijelLigue 2 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| MO ConstantineLigue 2 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| IB Khémis El KhechnaLigue 2 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| MO BejaiaLigue 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from US Chaouia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ligue 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
USM Annaba are ranked 1 in East, with 6 points from 3 games.
US Chaouia are ranked 12 in East, with 2 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USM Annaba | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | JSM Skikda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | NC Magra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Azazga | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | MSP Batna | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | MO Constantine | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Khroub | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | MO Bejaia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Paradou AC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Nrb Beni Oulbene | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | IRB Nezla | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | US Chaouia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | JS Jijel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Teleghma | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | CA Batna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | CR Béni Thour | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RC Kouba | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Usm El Harrach | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Blida | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | MC Saida | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | GC Mascara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | WA Mostaganem | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Mostaganem | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Sidi Benali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | ASM Oran | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Hussein Dey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | WA Tlemcen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Koléa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | El Bayadh | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Tiaret | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | RC Arba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Taghit | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.