4. liga - Divizie C · Group C - 9
Ústí nad Orlicí2–1Kolín
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 4. liga - Divizie C
- Venue
- Stadion TJ Jiskra
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ústí nad Orlicí vs Kolín: match review and analysis
Ústí nad Orlicí vs Kolín in 4. liga - Divizie C on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Ústí nad Orlicí recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 12. Kolín recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 18 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ústí nad Orlicí | Kolín |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ústí nad Orlicí: (2.03 weighted goals scored + 1.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kolín: (1.95 weighted goals scored + 0.96 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ústí nad Orlicí recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vykan4. liga - Divizie C | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Svitavy4. liga - Divizie C | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Dvůr Králové4. liga - Divizie C | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hlinsko4. liga - Divizie C | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Slavia Hradec Králové4. liga - Divizie C | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Letohrad4. liga - Divizie C | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Chrudim II4. liga - Divizie C | Away | 6–0 | Won | |
| PřepeřeCup | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Turnov4. liga - Divizie C | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SvitavyCup | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Ústí nad Orlicí’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Kolín recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turnov4. liga - Divizie C | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Vykan4. liga - Divizie C | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Spartak Police n/Metují4. liga - Divizie C | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Svitavy4. liga - Divizie C | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Kosmonosy4. liga - Divizie C | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Dvůr Králové4. liga - Divizie C | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Chlumec nad Cidlinou4. liga - Divizie C | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hlinsko4. liga - Divizie C | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Horní ŘediceCup | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Chrudim IIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 4–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Kolín’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
4. liga - Divizie C — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ústí nad Orlicí are ranked 4 in Group C, with 20 points from 9 games.
Kolín are ranked 9 in Group C, with 12 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vysoké Mýto | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | Kosmonosy | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | Přepeře | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 10 | 17 | 21 |
| 4 | Ústí nad Orlicí | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| 5 | Turnov | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Trutnov | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 | Chlumec nad Cidlinou | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Hlinsko | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Kolín | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Spartak Police n/Metují | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Vykan | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Dvůr Králové | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Slavia Hradec Králové | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Svitavy | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 5 |
| 15 | Chrudim II | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 39 | -27 | 1 |
| 16 | Letohrad | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 35 | -25 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.