Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 31
VaprusvsKalju Nomme
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Meistriliiga
- Venue
- Parnu Rannastaadion
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme: match review and analysis
Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme in Meistriliiga on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Vaprus recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 23. Kalju Nomme recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses, with 24 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Vaprus | Kalju Nomme |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 24 |
| Goals conceded | 23 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Vaprus: (1.49 weighted goals scored + 1.29 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kalju Nomme: (2.11 weighted goals scored + 2.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.15 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Vaprus recent form
1.40 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trans NarvaMeistriliiga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Flora TallinnMeistriliiga | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| PaideMeistriliiga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliiga | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| LaagriMeistriliiga | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nõmme UnitedCup | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| KuressaareMeistriliiga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Flora TallinnMeistriliiga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kalju NommeMeistriliiga | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Vaprus’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Kalju Nomme recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaagriMeistriliiga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TammekaMeistriliiga | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Trans NarvaMeistriliiga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Flora TallinnMeistriliiga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliiga | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Trans NarvaCup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| LaagriMeistriliiga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| VaprusMeistriliiga | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| PoseidonCup | Away | 12–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Kalju Nomme’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Meistriliiga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kalju Nomme are ranked 4 in Meistriliiga, with 50 points from 30 games.
Vaprus are ranked 7 in Meistriliiga, with 35 points from 30 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 82 | 21 | 61 | 75 |
| 2 | Flora Tallinn | 30 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 59 | 41 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Paide | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 50 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 47 |
| 6 | Laagri | 30 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 38 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 35 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 32 |
| 9 | Nõmme United | 30 | 9 | 1 | 20 | 47 | 72 | -25 | 28 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | 67 | -43 | 20 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.