J2 League · Regular Season - 9
Vegalta Sendai2–1Jubilo Iwata
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J2 League
- Venue
- Yurtec Stadium Sendai
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Vegalta Sendai vs Jubilo Iwata: match review and analysis
Vegalta Sendai vs Jubilo Iwata in J2 League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Vegalta Sendai recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 13. Jubilo Iwata recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 16 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Vegalta Sendai | Jubilo Iwata |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Vegalta Sendai: (2.00 weighted goals scored + 1.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.61 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Jubilo Iwata: (1.70 weighted goals scored + 1.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Vegalta Sendai recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IwakiJ2 League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Tochigi CityJ2 League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Consadole SapporoJ2 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Fukushima UnitedJ-League Cup | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Shonan BellmareJ2 League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Tegevajaro MiyazakiJ2 League | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Tochigi CityEmperor Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Vanraure HachinoheJ2 League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Oita TrinitaJ2 League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Fujieda MYFCJ2 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Vegalta Sendai’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Jubilo Iwata recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JEF United ChibaJ-League Cup | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Vanraure HachinoheJ2 League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Albirex NiigataJ2 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ventforet KofuJ2 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Kataller ToyamaJ2 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SagamiharaJ-League Cup | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Tochigi CityJ2 League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Tegevajaro MiyazakiEmperor Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Tokushima VortisJ2 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Yokohama FCJ2 League | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Jubilo Iwata’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J2 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Vegalta Sendai are ranked 1 in J2 League, with 20 points from 9 games.
Jubilo Iwata are ranked 14 in J2 League, with 10 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Blaublitz Akita | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Tokushima Vortis | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Oita Trinita | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Tochigi City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Jubilo Iwata | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Sagan Tosu | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Consadole Sapporo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | Imabari | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.