Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 11
Velez Sarsfield2–2Platense
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Profesional Argentina
- Venue
- Jose Amalfitani
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–2
- 90-minute score
- 2–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 5′R. MartinezNormal GoalVelez Sarsfield
- 7′B. MerliniNormal GoalPlatense
- 45+1′Agustín LagosMissed PenaltyPlatense
- 54′
- 88′
Cards
- 79′Tomás Ariel SilvaYellow CardPlatenseArgument
- 84′Ivan GómezYellow CardPlatenseFoul
Events updated
Lineups
Velez Sarsfield
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Guilermo Barros Schelotto
Starting XI
- 1T. MarchioriG
- 4J. GarciaD
- 32T. SilveroD
- 16L. MagallanD
- 3E. GomezD
- 29R. AliendroM
- 8L. RobertoneM
- 39T. AguirreM
- 22M. LanziniM
- 37J. Policella
- 77R. MartinezF
Substitutes
- 23F. SanguinettiG
- 21J. GordonD
- 19L. CristaldoD
- 18S. EscobarD
- 47A. PereyraD
- 10D. ValdesM
- 5C. BaezaM
- 48L. FelerM
- 35M. AriasF
- 15D. GodoyF
- 30L. PiolaF
- 27S. PrimaF
Platense
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Martin Palermo
Starting XI
- 30J. CozzaniG
- 4A. LagosD
- 34M. MendiaD
- 31Victor CuestaD
- 3T. SilvaD
- 15M. AmarfilM
- 24M. BarriosM
- 7G. MaineroM
- 18B. MerliniM
- 43K. RetamarM
- 79B. SepulvedaF
Substitutes
- 22N. SumavilG
- 6E. RaggioD
- 8F. LopezD
- 5I. GomezM
- 16G. TogniF
- 10F. ZapiolaM
- 23L. HerediaM
- 17F. BussioM
- 99G. LencinaF
- 33J. GautoF
- 11N. LopezF
- 29F. MinervaM
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Velez Sarsfield vs Platense: match review and analysis
Velez Sarsfield vs Platense in Liga Profesional Argentina on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Velez Sarsfield recorded 4 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 9. Platense recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 8 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Velez Sarsfield | Platense |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Velez Sarsfield: (1.40 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Platense: (0.77 weighted goals scored + 0.90 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.83 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Velez Sarsfield recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TigreLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Boca JuniorsCopa Argentina | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IndependienteLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Velez Sarsfield’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Platense recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes L.P.Copa Argentina | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FluminenseCONMEBOL Libertadores | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FluminenseCONMEBOL Libertadores | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Instituto CordobaCopa Argentina | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Coquimbo UnidoCONMEBOL Libertadores | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Platense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Profesional Argentina — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Velez Sarsfield are ranked 3 in Apertura - Group A, with 28 points from 16 games.
Platense are ranked 12 in Apertura - Group A, with 16 points from 16 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
Velez Sarsfield are ranked 2 in Clausura - Group A, with 21 points from 11 games.
Platense are ranked 13 in Clausura - Group A, with 10 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa Y Justicia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes L.P. | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos JRS | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Belgrano Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Huracan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Independ. Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigre | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Banfield | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.