Mineiro - 3 · Regular Season - 4
Venda NovavsInter de Minas
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 3 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Mineiro - 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Venda Nova vs Inter de Minas: match review and analysis
Venda Nova vs Inter de Minas in Mineiro - 3 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Venda Nova recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in the 3 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 1. Inter de Minas recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 20 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Venda Nova | Inter de Minas |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 1 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 2 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Venda Nova: (3.09 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Inter de Minas: (1.94 weighted goals scored + 0.39 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 3 GAMES
Venda Nova recent form
3.33 goals scored and 0.33 conceded per game. 2 of 3 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novo Esporte ClubeMineiro - 3 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SantarritenseMineiro - 3 | Away | 8–0 | Won | |
| Nova LavrasMineiro - 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Venda Nova’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 3 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Inter de Minas recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SantarritenseMineiro - 3 | Home | 7–1 | Won | |
| Nacional AC MGMineiro - 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Novo Esporte ClubeMineiro - 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Novo Esporte ClubeMineiro - 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TupiMineiro - 3 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Boston City FC BrasilMineiro - 3 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Uniao LuzienseMineiro - 3 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CoimbraMineiro - 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| SerranenseMineiro - 3 | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Villa RealMineiro - 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Inter de Minas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Mineiro - 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Venda Nova are ranked 2 in Mineiro 3, with 7 points from 3 games.
Inter de Minas are ranked 4 in Mineiro 3, with 3 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional AC MG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
| 1 | Paracatu | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Venda Nova | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 7 |
| 2 | Betim 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Novo Esporte Clube | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 | Sao Joao del Rei | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Inter de Minas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Funorte | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
| 5 | Nova Lavras | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Araxá | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Santarritense | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | -17 | 0 |
| 6 | Siderurgica | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.