2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7
VfL BochumvsArminia Bielefeld
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 2. Bundesliga
- Venue
- Vonovia Ruhrstadion
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld: match review and analysis
VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld in 2. Bundesliga on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
VfL Bochum recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Arminia Bielefeld recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, with 19 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | VfL Bochum | Arminia Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
VfL Bochum: (1.38 weighted goals scored + 1.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Arminia Bielefeld: (1.79 weighted goals scored + 1.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.40 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
VfL Bochum recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL OsnabrückFriendlies Clubs | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Hannover 962. Bundesliga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SpVgg Greuther FürthDFB Pokal | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sheffield UtdFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Werder BremenFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from VfL Bochum’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Arminia Bielefeld recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß EssenFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachDFB Pokal | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MSV DuisburgFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BolognaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Arminia Bielefeld’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
2. Bundesliga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
VfL Bochum are ranked 10 in 2. Bundesliga, with 7 points from 6 games.
Arminia Bielefeld are ranked 14 in 2. Bundesliga, with 5 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Energie Cottbus | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | FC St. Pauli | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | VfL Bochum | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.