Serie B · Regular Season - 32
Vila Nova0–0Cuiaba
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie B
- Venue
- Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–0
- 90-minute score
- 0–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba: match review and analysis
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba in Serie B on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Vila Nova recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 6. Cuiaba recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 16 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Vila Nova | Cuiaba |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Vila Nova: (1.69 weighted goals scored + 1.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cuiaba: (1.45 weighted goals scored + 0.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Vila Nova recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo SPSerie B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| LondrinaSerie B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| America MineiroSerie B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AvaiSerie B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GoiasSerie B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Athletic ClubSerie B | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| CearaSerie B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Operario-PRSerie B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ponte PretaSerie B | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| Atletico GoianienseSerie B | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Vila Nova’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cuiaba recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte PretaSerie B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CRBSerie B | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Nautico RecifeSerie B | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| NovorizontinoSerie B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Athletic ClubSerie B | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| CriciumaSerie B | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Botafogo SPSerie B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| GoiasSerie B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Operario-PRSerie B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| CearaSerie B | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Cuiaba’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Vila Nova are ranked 2 in Serie B, with 58 points from 32 games.
Cuiaba are ranked 10 in Serie B, with 47 points from 32 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 58 |
| 3 | Fortaleza EC | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 56 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52 | 27 | 25 | 54 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico Recife | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 42 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 42 |
| 15 | Ceara | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 28 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 68 | -51 | 13 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.