Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · Group 5 - 5
VilanovavsSan Juan Atletico de Montcada
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 4 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Vilanova vs San Juan Atletico de Montcada: match review and analysis
Vilanova vs San Juan Atletico de Montcada in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 on 3 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Vilanova recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 10. San Juan Atletico de Montcada recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 5 scored and 7 conceded across 4 games.
| Statistic | Vilanova | San Juan Atletico de Montcada |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 4 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Vilanova: (1.34 weighted goals scored + 1.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
San Juan Atletico de Montcada: (1.17 weighted goals scored + 1.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.13 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Vilanova recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pobla MafumetTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| PeraladaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MollerussaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| L'HospitaletTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ManresaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CornellàTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| CornellàTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Lleida EsportiuTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Can VidaletTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| L'EscalaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Vilanova’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 4 GAMES
San Juan Atletico de Montcada recent form
1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. 4 of 4 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TonaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| San CristóbalTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Vilassar MarTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| MontañesaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from San Juan Atletico de Montcada’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 4 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Vilanova are ranked 4 in Tercera: Group 5, with 8 points from 4 games.
San Juan Atletico de Montcada are ranked 10 in Tercera: Group 5, with 6 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Badalona | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Montañesa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Europa II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Vilanova | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Grama | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Pobla Mafumet | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | L'Hospitalet | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Cornellà | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | L'Escala | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Peralada | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Martinenc | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Cerdanyola del Vallès | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Atlètic Lleida | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Mollerussa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | San Cristóbal | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Tona | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Vilassar Mar | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.