Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Group 14 - 5
VillafrancavsCD Zafra
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Postponed
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayPostponed
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 4 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Postponed
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Villafranca vs CD Zafra: match review and analysis
Villafranca vs CD Zafra in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 on 4 October 2026. Match status: Match Postponed.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Villafranca recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 15. CD Zafra recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 5 scored and 3 conceded across 4 games.
| Statistic | Villafranca | CD Zafra |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 4 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 3 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 2 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Villafranca: (1.36 weighted goals scored + 0.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
CD Zafra: (1.02 weighted goals scored + 1.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Villafranca recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaraízTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| VillanovenseTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GuadianaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| AzuagaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| DiocesanoTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 4–4 | Draw | |
| JerezTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Don BenitoTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Santa AmaliaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| AzuagaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GévoraTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Villafranca’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 4 GAMES
CD Zafra recent form
1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. 2 of 4 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LlerenenseTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MoraloTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Atlético PueblonuevoTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| QuintanaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from CD Zafra’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 4 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
CD Zafra are ranked 7 in Group 14, with 7 points from 4 games.
Villafranca are ranked 15 in Group 14, with 3 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 15 |
| 2 | Moralo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Castuera | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Puebla Calzada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Gévora | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | CD Zafra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Cabeza Buey | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Jerez | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Jaraíz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Quintana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Villafranca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Atlético Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 | Plasencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 18 | Guadiana | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.