Premier League · Regular Season - 6
VipersvsMaroons
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Vipers vs Maroons: match review and analysis
Vipers vs Maroons in Premier League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Vipers recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 4. Maroons recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 11 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Vipers | Maroons |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 4 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Vipers: (1.83 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Maroons: (1.22 weighted goals scored + 0.40 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Vipers recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blacks PowerPremier League | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| NtugasazePremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| NouadhibouCAF Champions League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NouadhibouCAF Champions League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Entebbe UPPCPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| APRCECAFA Club Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| GOR MahiaCECAFA Club Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Al-Haras Al-JumhuriCECAFA Club Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| ExpressPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| MaroonsPremier League | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Vipers’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Maroons recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LugaziPremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| UPDFPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Blacks PowerPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NtugasazePremier League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| URAPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LugaziPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| VipersPremier League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Entebbe UPPCPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| KCCAPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| URAPremier League | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Maroons’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Vipers are ranked 8 in Regular Season, with 6 points from 3 games.
Maroons are ranked 9 in Regular Season, with 6 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | NEC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | SC Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Blacks Power | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 | Police | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | KCCA | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | Vipers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Maroons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Lugazi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Kitara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 | UPDF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Express | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | URA | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Ntugasaze | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Mbarara City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Kataka | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.