Cup · Regions Path - Semi-finals
Volga UlyanovskvsMurom
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Cup
- Venue
- Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk)
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Murom: match review and analysis
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Murom in Cup on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Volga Ulyanovsk recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 13. Murom recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 20 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Volga Ulyanovsk | Murom |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Volga Ulyanovsk: (1.17 weighted goals scored + 0.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Murom: (2.40 weighted goals scored + 1.26 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.83 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Volga Ulyanovsk recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotor VolgogradFirst League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| VelesFirst League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| LeningradetsFirst League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Spartak KostromaFirst League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC UFAFirst League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Volgar AstrakhanCup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Arsenal TulaFirst League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Nizhny NovgorodFirst League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Shinnik YaroslavlFirst League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| FC SochiFirst League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Volga Ulyanovsk’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Murom recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iskra SmolenskSecond League - Group 2 | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Luki-EnergiyaSecond League - Group 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Zvezda St. PetersburgSecond League - Group 2 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Torpedo VladimirSecond League - Group 2 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| VelesCup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Dinamo VologdaSecond League - Group 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| 2DrotsCup | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Baltika IISecond League - Group 2 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Yenisey IISecond League - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Metallurg LipetskCup | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Murom’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.