Derde Divisie · Regular Season - 8
Vvsb0–3Excelsior Maassluis
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Derde Divisie
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–3
- 90-minute score
- 0–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Vvsb vs Excelsior Maassluis: match review and analysis
Vvsb vs Excelsior Maassluis in Derde Divisie on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Vvsb recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Excelsior Maassluis recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 20 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Vvsb | Excelsior Maassluis |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Vvsb: (1.17 weighted goals scored + 0.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Excelsior Maassluis: (1.92 weighted goals scored + 1.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Vvsb recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RoosendaalDerde Divisie | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| RijnvogelsKNVB Beker | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Achilles VeenDerde Divisie | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| NoordwijkDerde Divisie | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FC LisseDerde Divisie | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ajax AmateursKNVB Beker | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Groene SterDerde Divisie | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| UDI '19Derde Divisie | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PoortugaalDerde Divisie | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Excelsior MaassluisTweede Divisie | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Vvsb’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Excelsior Maassluis recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blauw GeelDerde Divisie | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sportlust '46KNVB Beker | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| RoosendaalDerde Divisie | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Achilles VeenDerde Divisie | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| NoordwijkDerde Divisie | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ADO '20KNVB Beker | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC LisseDerde Divisie | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Groene SterDerde Divisie | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| UDI '19Derde Divisie | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sparta Rotterdam IIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 4–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Excelsior Maassluis’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Derde Divisie — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Excelsior Maassluis are ranked 4 in Derde Divisie, with 17 points from 8 games.
Vvsb are ranked 15 in Derde Divisie, with 7 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior '31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 19 |
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 7 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | ACV | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | FC Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | SC Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | UDI '19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | Sportlust '46 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | ADO '20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 5 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Dovo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 5 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 3 |
| 15 | Vvsb | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 1 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 | SVZW | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 1 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.