III Liga - Group 3 · Group III - 12
Warta GorzówvsPolonia Nysa
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- III Liga - Group 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Warta Gorzów vs Polonia Nysa: match review and analysis
Warta Gorzów vs Polonia Nysa in III Liga - Group 3 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Warta Gorzów recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Polonia Nysa recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 12 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Warta Gorzów | Polonia Nysa |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Warta Gorzów: (0.93 weighted goals scored + 2.07 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.50 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Polonia Nysa: (1.19 weighted goals scored + 1.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Warta Gorzów recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta KatowiceIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ślęza WrocławIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Goczałkowice ZdrójIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Stal BrzegIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Stilon GorzówIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Zagłębie Lubin IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Odra Bytom OdrzańskiIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Górnik PolkowiceIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Barycz SułówIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Warta Gorzów’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Polonia Nysa recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miedź Legnica IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KluczborkIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Rakow IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Zaglebie SosnowiecIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sparta KatowiceIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Ślęza WrocławIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Goczałkowice ZdrójIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Stal BrzegIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Stilon GorzówIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Zagłębie Lubin IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Polonia Nysa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
III Liga - Group 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Warta Gorzów are ranked 11 in Group III, with 14 points from 11 games.
Polonia Nysa are ranked 17 in Group III, with 8 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Katowice | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Barycz Sułów | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Górnik Polkowice | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | ROW Rybnik | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 17 |
| 8 | Stilon Gorzów | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Miedź Legnica II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 | Warta Gorzów | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Kluczbork | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Stal Brzeg | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 11 |
| 14 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Ślęza Wrocław | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Rakow II | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Polonia Nysa | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 8 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.