FA Cup · 3rd Round Qualifying
Weymouth1–5SE Dons
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 2 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FA Cup
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–5
- 90-minute score
- 1–5
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Weymouth vs SE Dons: match review and analysis
Weymouth vs SE Dons in FA Cup on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–5. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Weymouth recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 16. SE Dons recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 5 scored and 2 conceded across 2 games.
| Statistic | Weymouth | SE Dons |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 2 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 2 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 2 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Weymouth: (2.39 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
SE Dons: (2.63 weighted goals scored + 1.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Weymouth recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chippenham TownFA Trophy | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Swindon SupermarineFA Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Hartpury UniversityFA Trophy | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Bath CityFA Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Melksham TownFA Trophy | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Frome TownFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Barry TownFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| BerkhamstedNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Chertsey TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Hanwell TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Weymouth’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 2 GAMES
SE Dons recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 2 of 2 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chichester CityFA Cup | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Erith TownFA Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from SE Dons’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 2 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FA Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.