National Division · Regular Season - 9
WiltzvsUNA Strassen
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National Division
- Venue
- Stade Am Petz
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Wiltz vs UNA Strassen: match review and analysis
Wiltz vs UNA Strassen in National Division on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Wiltz recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 33. UNA Strassen recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, with 25 scored and 3 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Wiltz | UNA Strassen |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 9 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 7 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 33 | 3 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Wiltz: (1.96 weighted goals scored + 0.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
UNA Strassen: (3.05 weighted goals scored + 3.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 3.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Wiltz recent form
2.00 goals scored and 3.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SandweilerCup | Away | 6–2 | Won | |
| Atert BissenNational Division | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Progres NiederkornNational Division | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AS Jeunesse EschNational Division | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| F91 DudelangeNational Division | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Victoria RosportNational Division | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| FC Differdange 03National Division | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Swift HesperangeNational Division | Away | 7–2 | Won | |
| Etzella EttelbruckNational Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AS EupenFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–9 | Lost |
Scores shown from Wiltz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
UNA Strassen recent form
2.50 goals scored and 0.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US EschCup | Away | 8–0 | Won | |
| US RumelangeNational Division | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| US Mondorf-les-bainsNational Division | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Résidence WalferdangeNational Division | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Atert BissenNational Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Progres NiederkornNational Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AS Jeunesse EschNational Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| F91 DudelangeNational Division | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Victoria RosportNational Division | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| FK PartizanUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from UNA Strassen’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
UNA Strassen are ranked 1 in BGL League, with 24 points from 8 games.
Wiltz are ranked 15 in BGL League, with 4 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Differdange 03 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 17 |
| 5 | Progres Niederkorn | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 15 |
| 7 | Atert Bissen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 15 |
| 8 | Résidence Walferdange | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
| 9 | US Hostert | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | F91 Dudelange | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
| 12 | US Rumelange | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 6 |
| 13 | Victoria Rosport | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 5 |
| 14 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 | Wiltz | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.