National League · Regular Season - 13
WorthingvsSolihull Moors
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League
- Venue
- Sussex Transport Community Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Worthing vs Solihull Moors: match review and analysis
Worthing vs Solihull Moors in National League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Worthing recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 14. Solihull Moors recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 13 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Worthing | Solihull Moors |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Worthing: (1.66 weighted goals scored + 2.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Solihull Moors: (1.47 weighted goals scored + 1.21 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Worthing recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GatesheadNational League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Yeovil TownNational League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC Halifax TownNational League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| HartlepoolNational League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| AFC HornchurchNational League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BarrowNational League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Norwich City U21National League Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AFC FyldeNational League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Boreham WoodNational League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| TamworthNational League | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Worthing’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Solihull Moors recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United U21National League Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC Halifax TownNational League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| WokingNational League | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Boreham WoodNational League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Yeovil TownNational League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| BarrowNational League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Aldershot TownNational League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Leeds United U21National League Cup | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| GatesheadNational League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AFC FyldeNational League | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Solihull Moors’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Worthing are ranked 5 in Conference, with 21 points from 12 games.
Solihull Moors are ranked 23 in Conference, with 7 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 35 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Worthing | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster Harriers | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | AFC Hornchurch | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 18 |
| 13 | FC Halifax Town | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.