Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 · Group 10 - 6
Xerez DeportivovsSan Roque Lepe
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Xerez Deportivo vs San Roque Lepe: match review and analysis
Xerez Deportivo vs San Roque Lepe in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Xerez Deportivo recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 13. San Roque Lepe recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 7 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Xerez Deportivo | San Roque Lepe |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Xerez Deportivo: (0.83 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
San Roque Lepe: (0.79 weighted goals scored + 1.14 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Xerez Deportivo recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo HuelvaTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Betis CTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BollullosTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sevilla IIITercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| PortuenseTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Home UnitedFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mijas Las LagunasFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Recreativo HuelvaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| XerezSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Deportiva MineraSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Xerez Deportivo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
San Roque Lepe recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betis CTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BollullosTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sevilla IIITercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PortuenseTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ceuta IITercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ceuta IITercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Córdoba IITercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ChiclanaTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ConilTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Atlético CentralTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from San Roque Lepe’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
San Roque Lepe are ranked 9 in Group 10, with 7 points from 5 games.
Xerez Deportivo are ranked 10 in Group 10, with 7 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dos Hermanas | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Utrera | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Betis C | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Portuense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Pozoblanco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Egabrense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Chiclana | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Tomares | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | San Roque Lepe | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Xerez Deportivo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Linense | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Conil | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Cádiz II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 14 | Sevilla III | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Recreativo Huelva | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Ceuta II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Bollullos | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 2 |
| 18 | Córdoba II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.