Non League Premier - Southern South · Regular Season - 11
Yate TownvsBerkhamsted
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Southern South
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Yate Town vs Berkhamsted: match review and analysis
Yate Town vs Berkhamsted in Non League Premier - Southern South on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Yate Town recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 17. Berkhamsted recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 17 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Yate Town | Berkhamsted |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Yate Town: (1.39 weighted goals scored + 0.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Berkhamsted: (1.61 weighted goals scored + 1.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Yate Town recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frome TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Wimborne TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| SholingFA Trophy | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Chippenham TownFA Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chippenham TownFA Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Hanworth VillaNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Devizes TownFA Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Taunton TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Poole TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bracknell TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Yate Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Berkhamsted recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redditch UnitedFA Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| SholingNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Chatham TownFA Trophy | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Hanworth VillaNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| HendonFA Cup | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| UxbridgeNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Evesham UnitedNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Bishop's StortfordFA Cup | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Hanwell TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Chippenham TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Berkhamsted’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Southern South — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Berkhamsted are ranked 11 in Regular Season, with 13 points from 10 games.
Yate Town are ranked 14 in Regular Season, with 12 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 20 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 14 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Evesham United | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Berkhamsted | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Wimborne Town | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Basingstoke Town | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 7 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant & Wville | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.