Ligue A · Regular Season - 6
Young StarvsBumamuru
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 5 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ligue A
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Young Star vs Bumamuru: match review and analysis
Young Star vs Bumamuru in Ligue A on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Young Star recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 5 games used here, scoring 2 and conceding 16. Bumamuru recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 7 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Young Star | Bumamuru |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 2 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Young Star: (0.44 weighted goals scored + 1.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bumamuru: (0.74 weighted goals scored + 3.40 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 5 GAMES
Young Star recent form
0.40 goals scored and 3.20 conceded per game. 4 of 5 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RukinzoLigue A | Away | 0–7 | Lost | |
| Royal VisionLigue A | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Aigle NoirLigue A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kayanza UnitedLigue A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ngozi CityLigue A | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Young Star’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 5 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Bumamuru recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flambeau du CentreLigue A | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Olympic StarLigue A | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| MusongatiLigue A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Panthere NoirLigue A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Le Messager NgoziLigue A | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MusongatiLigue A | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| RukinzoLigue A | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Green Farmers FCLigue A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Kayanza UnitedLigue A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Garage ExpressLigue A | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Bumamuru’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ligue A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Bumamuru are ranked 11 in Ligue A, with 4 points from 5 games.
Young Star are ranked 16 in Ligue A, with 1 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Vision | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Muzinga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Aigle Noir | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Le Messager Ngozi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Ngozi City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Rukinzo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 8 |
| 7 | Vital'O | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Olympic Star | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Flambeau du Centre | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Kayanza United | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Bumamuru | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Never Give Up Academy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Musongati | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Inter Star | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Panthere Noir | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Young Star | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.