Primera Premier · Regular Season - 6
Zacatepec 19482–2Reboceros La Piedad
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera Premier
- Venue
- Estadio Mariano Matamoros
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–2
- 90-minute score
- 2–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Zacatepec 1948 vs Reboceros La Piedad: match review and analysis
Zacatepec 1948 vs Reboceros La Piedad in Primera Premier on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Zacatepec 1948 recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Reboceros La Piedad recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses, with 17 scored and 24 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Zacatepec 1948 | Reboceros La Piedad |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 24 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Zacatepec 1948: (1.32 weighted goals scored + 2.14 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.73 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Reboceros La Piedad: (1.70 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Zacatepec 1948 recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CordobésPrimera Premier | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| H2O PurepechasPrimera Premier | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tritons VallartaPrimera Premier | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Lobos ULMXPrimera Premier | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Tigres de AlicaPrimera Premier | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| DurangoLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DurangoLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FC SantiagoLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| FC SantiagoLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Gavilanes FC MatamorosLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Zacatepec 1948’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Reboceros La Piedad recent form
1.70 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IrapuatoPrimera Premier | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| CordobésPrimera Premier | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| H2O PurepechasPrimera Premier | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Tritons VallartaPrimera Premier | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Club QueretaroFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GuerrerosLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| DurangoLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Mineros de FresnilloLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 2–6 | Lost | |
| CimarronesLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| EnsenadaLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–6 | Lost |
Scores shown from Reboceros La Piedad’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera Premier — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Zacatepec 1948 are ranked 6 in Regular Season, with 11 points from 6 games.
Reboceros La Piedad are ranked 7 in Regular Season, with 10 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irapuato | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Celaya | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Pioneros de Cancún | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 12 |
| 4 | Racing de Veracruz | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 11 |
| 5 | Tigres de Alica | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Zacatepec 1948 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Reboceros La Piedad | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Jaguares de Chiapas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Montañeses | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Deportiva Venados | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Chapulineros | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Cordobés | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Lobos ULMX | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Inter Playa del Carmen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Tapachula | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 |
| 17 | Tritons Vallarta | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | H2O Purepechas | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.