II Liga - East · Regular Season - 10
Znicz Pruszków4–2Stal Stalowa Wola
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- II Liga - East
- Venue
- Stadion MZOS Znicz
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–2
- 90-minute score
- 4–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Znicz Pruszków vs Stal Stalowa Wola: match review and analysis
Znicz Pruszków vs Stal Stalowa Wola in II Liga - East on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Znicz Pruszków recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 12. Stal Stalowa Wola recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 16 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Znicz Pruszków | Stal Stalowa Wola |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Znicz Pruszków: (2.09 weighted goals scored + 2.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Stal Stalowa Wola: (1.40 weighted goals scored + 1.22 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Znicz Pruszków recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia Zielona GóraII Liga - East | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Tychy 71II Liga - East | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hutnik KrakówII Liga - East | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Cracovia KrakowCup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Śląsk Wrocław IIII Liga - East | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Świt SkolwinII Liga - East | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Olimpia GrudziądzII Liga - East | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Chojniczanka ChojniceII Liga - East | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| ŁKS Łódź IICup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Legia Warszawa IIII Liga - East | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Znicz Pruszków’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Stal Stalowa Wola recent form
1.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resovia RzeszówII Liga - East | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Podhale Nowy TargII Liga - East | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Zawisza BydgoszczII Liga - East | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Hutnik KrakówII Liga - East | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Chojniczanka ChojniceII Liga - East | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Avia ŚwidnikII Liga - East | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Rekord Bielsko-BiałaII Liga - East | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Śląsk Wrocław IICup | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Tychy 71II Liga - East | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Legia Warszawa IIII Liga - East | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Stal Stalowa Wola’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
II Liga - East — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Znicz Pruszków are ranked 1 in II Liga - East, with 23 points from 10 games.
Stal Stalowa Wola are ranked 13 in II Liga - East, with 10 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Znicz Pruszków | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | Górnik Łęczna | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Tychy 71 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 17 |
| 5 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Hutnik Kraków | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Avia Świdnik | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Legia Warszawa II | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 9 |
| 15 | Śląsk Wrocław II | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Sokół Kleczew | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 8 |
| 17 | Świt Skolwin | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 | Resovia Rzeszów | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.