Serie D - Girone G · Group G - 8
AfragolesevsAtletico Lodigiani
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
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Match information
- Competition
- Serie D - Girone G
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Afragolese
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Atletico Lodigiani
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Afragolese vs Atletico Lodigiani: match review and analysis
Afragolese vs Atletico Lodigiani in Serie D - Girone G on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Afragolese recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 15. Atletico Lodigiani recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses, with 10 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Afragolese | Atletico Lodigiani |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Afragolese: (0.65 weighted goals scored + 2.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.40 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Atletico Lodigiani: (0.95 weighted goals scored + 1.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.20 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Afragolese recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarrabus OgliastraSerie D - Girone G | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| OsseseSerie D - Girone G | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Città di AnagniSerie D - Girone G | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| VenafroSerie D - Girone G | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| PaganeseSerie D - Girone G | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SarneseSerie D - Girone G | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GelbisonSerie D - Girone G | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FrancavillaSerie D - Girone H | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GravinaSerie D - Girone H | Home | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Real NormannaSerie D - Girone H | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Afragolese’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Atletico Lodigiani recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SarneseSerie D - Girone G | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UnipomeziaSerie D - Girone G | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| TrastevereSerie D - Girone G | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Certosa V. CampagnanoSerie D - Girone G | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Latte DolceSerie D - Girone G | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MonastirSerie D - Girone G | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| AlbalongaSerie D - Girone G | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| CassinoSerie D - Girone G | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Real MonterotondoSerie D - Girone G | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BudoniSerie D - Girone G | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Atletico Lodigiani’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie D - Girone G — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Afragolese are ranked 12 in Group G, with 7 points from 7 games.
Atletico Lodigiani are ranked 18 in Group G, with 1 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarnese | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Monastir | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Paganese | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Certosa V. Campagnano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Unipomezia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | Ossese | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Anzio | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Trastevere | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 | Città di Anagni | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Aranova | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Albalonga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Afragolese | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Gelbison | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Budoni | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Latte Dolce | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Venafro | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 |
| 18 | Atletico Lodigiani | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.