National Soccer League · Regular Season - 5
AmagajuvsSunrise
Amagaju vs Sunrise in National Soccer League on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National Soccer League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sunrise are ranked 4 in Regular Season, with 6 points from 4 games.
Amagaju are ranked 7 in Regular Season, with 4 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gicumbi | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Etincelles | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Mukura | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Sunrise | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gorilla | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Marines | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Amagaju | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Gasogi United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Kiyovu Sports | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | AS Kigali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | APR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Bugesera | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Police | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Musanze | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Al Merreikh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Rayon Sports | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Etoile de l'Est | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Amagaju vs Sunrise
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amagaju | 1–0 | Sunrise | National Soccer League | |
| Sunrise | 2–1 | Amagaju | National Soccer League |
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Match information
- Competition
- National Soccer League
- Venue
- Stade Huye
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Amagaju
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Sunrise
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Amagaju vs Sunrise: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Amagaju recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Sunrise recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 8 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Amagaju | Sunrise |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Amagaju: (0.63 weighted goals scored + 1.22 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.93 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sunrise: (0.77 weighted goals scored + 0.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.77 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Amagaju recent form
0.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MukuraNational Soccer League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Al MerreikhNational Soccer League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| GicumbiNational Soccer League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Etoile de l'EstNational Soccer League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| MukuraNational Soccer League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MuhangaNational Soccer League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Al MerreikhNational Soccer League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| RutsiroNational Soccer League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Kiyovu SportsNational Soccer League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| EtincellesNational Soccer League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Amagaju’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sunrise recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gasogi UnitedNational Soccer League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PoliceNational Soccer League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rayon SportsNational Soccer League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EtincellesNational Soccer League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MarinesNational Soccer League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| AmagajuNational Soccer League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GorillaNational Soccer League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Gasogi UnitedNational Soccer League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Kiyovu SportsNational Soccer League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| AS KigaliNational Soccer League | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sunrise’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.