Serie C - Girone A · Girone A - 10
Athletic CarpivsLumezzane
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 17 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie C - Girone A
- Venue
- Stadio Sandro Cabassi
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
Next five games for each club
Athletic Carpi
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Lumezzane
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane: match review and analysis
Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane in Serie C - Girone A on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Athletic Carpi recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 20. Lumezzane recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 10 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Athletic Carpi | Lumezzane |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Athletic Carpi: (1.11 weighted goals scored + 1.26 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lumezzane: (0.93 weighted goals scored + 2.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Athletic Carpi recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PRO VercelliSerie C - Girone A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Arzignano ValchiampoSerie C - Girone A | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| NovaraSerie C - Girone A | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| OspitalettoSerie C - Girone A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CittadellaSerie C - Girone A | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AlbinoleffeSerie C - Girone A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| PRO VercelliCoppa Italia Serie C | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Juventus U23Serie C - Girone A | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Union BresciaSerie C - Girone A | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Athletic Carpi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lumezzane recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus U23Serie C - Girone A | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AlbinoleffeSerie C - Girone A | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| InterFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Folgore CarateseSerie C - Girone A | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dolomiti BellunesiSerie C - Girone A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| NovaraSerie C - Girone A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| RenateSerie C - Girone A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CittadellaSerie C - Girone A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Giana ErminioSerie C - Girone A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| OspitalettoSerie C - Girone A | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Lumezzane’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie C - Girone A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Lumezzane are ranked 10 in Serie C: Girone A, with 12 points from 9 games.
Athletic Carpi are ranked 17 in Serie C: Girone A, with 6 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Trento | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Treviso | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13 |
| 7 | Desenzano Calvina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Albinoleffe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Alcione | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Lumezzane | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Pergolettese | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Lecco | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Novara | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | PRO Vercelli | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 | Juventus U23 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Athletic Carpi | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Folgore Caratese | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 20 | Renate | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.