Primera Nacional · Regular Season - 34

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Atletico DE RafaelavsQuilmes

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes in Primera Nacional on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.

RealScored · Match preview

17 October 2026

Prediction

Home or away

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

Prediction saved Fri, 16 Oct 2026 · 05:22 UTC

Goals and cards

Goals

Match events are not yet available.

Cards

Match events are not yet available.

Lineups

Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.

LEAGUE CONTEXT

Primera Nacional — current table

Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated Tue, 13 Oct 2026 · 22:33 UTC. Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.

Group 1
Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	33	18	8	7	37	28	9	62
2	Deportivo Moron	33	17	7	9	51	34	17	58
3	Godoy Cruz	33	16	9	8	42	29	13	57
4	Deportivo Madryn	33	14	11	8	47	30	17	53
5	Colon Santa Fe	33	14	11	8	39	25	14	53
6	CA Estudiantes	33	13	9	11	31	27	4	48
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	33	12	12	9	28	28	0	48
8	Almirante Brown	33	12	11	10	26	22	4	47
9	Los Andes	33	9	13	11	25	24	1	40
10	Chaco For Ever	33	10	10	13	32	34	-2	40
11	Racing Cordoba	33	10	10	13	30	39	-9	40
12	Defensores De Belgrano	33	8	13	12	25	32	-7	37
13	San Telmo	33	9	10	14	28	37	-9	37
14	Atletico Mitre	33	7	15	11	29	39	-10	36
15	Central Norte	33	6	16	11	21	30	-9	34
16	All Boys	33	6	16	11	18	28	-10	34
17	Acassuso	33	8	8	17	25	35	-10	32
18	San Miguel	33	6	14	13	26	39	-13	32

Atletico DE Rafaela are ranked 11 in Group 2, with 42 points from 33 games.

Quilmes are ranked 14 in Group 2, with 39 points from 33 games.

Group 2
Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	33	15	14	4	32	15	17	59
2	Temperley	33	16	11	6	40	27	13	59
3	Atlanta	33	18	4	11	39	30	9	58
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	33	15	10	8	50	42	8	55
5	Midland	33	14	9	10	38	26	12	51
6	Gimnasia Y Tiro	33	13	10	10	34	30	4	49
7	Deportivo Maipu	33	13	9	11	40	32	8	48
8	Colegiales	33	13	8	12	32	31	1	47
9	San Martin S.J.	33	12	10	11	35	33	2	46
10	San Martin Tucuman	33	10	13	10	35	33	2	43
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	33	11	9	13	27	34	-7	42
12	Almagro	33	11	8	14	30	39	-9	41
13	Agropecuario	33	10	10	13	27	35	-8	40
14	Quilmes	33	10	9	14	30	28	2	39
15	Patronato	33	7	16	10	29	32	-3	37
16	Nueva Chicago	33	9	9	15	24	32	-8	36
17	Chacarita Juniors	33	9	6	18	25	35	-10	33
18	Club Atlético Güemes	33	5	8	20	23	56	-33	23

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.

PREVIOUS MEETINGS

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes

0Atletico DE Rafaela wins

0Draws

1Quilmes wins

Most recent previous meetings
Date	Home team	Score	Away team	Competition
Sun, 31 May 2026 UTC	Quilmes	2–0	Atletico DE Rafaela	Primera Nacional

Match information

Competition: Primera Nacional
Venue: Estadio Nuevo Monumental
Status: Not Started
Score: Not started
90-minute score: —
Last updated: Fri, 16 Oct 2026 · 04:47 UTC

Next five games for each club

Quilmes

No upcoming fixtures are available.

RealScored match analysis

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Atletico DE Rafaela recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 15. Quilmes recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 7 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
Statistic	Atletico DE Rafaela	Quilmes
Games	10	10
Wins	3	3
Draws	2	2
Losses	5	5
Goals scored	10	7
Goals conceded	15	8
Over 1.5 games	6	4

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Atletico DE Rafaela: (1.24 weighted goals scored + 0.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Quilmes: (0.50 weighted goals scored + 1.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.15 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6

Atletico DE Rafaela 1.05

Quilmes 1.15

The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results and goal trends

LAST 10 GAMES

Atletico DE Rafaela recent form

3Wins

2Draws

5Losses

10Goals scored

15Goals conceded

3Clean sheets

1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals

Recent results before this match · newest first
Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 UTC	MidlandPrimera Nacional	Away	0–4	Lost
Sun, 4 Oct 2026 UTC	AtlantaPrimera Nacional	Home	2–3	Lost
Sun, 27 Sep 2026 UTC	Gimnasia Y TiroPrimera Nacional	Away	0–1	Lost
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 UTC	San Martin TucumanPrimera Nacional	Home	4–2	Won
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 UTC	Gimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional	Away	1–2	Lost
Sun, 6 Sep 2026 UTC	AgropecuarioPrimera Nacional	Away	0–2	Lost
Sat, 29 Aug 2026 UTC	Tristan SuarezPrimera Nacional	Home	2–1	Won
Mon, 24 Aug 2026 UTC	Club Atlético GüemesPrimera Nacional	Away	0–0	Draw
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 UTC	Defensores De BelgranoPrimera Nacional	Home	0–0	Draw
Sat, 8 Aug 2026 UTC	Chacarita JuniorsPrimera Nacional	Home	1–0	Won

Scores shown from Atletico DE Rafaela’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Quilmes recent form

3Wins

2Draws

5Losses

7Goals scored

8Goals conceded

4Clean sheets

0.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.