Ligue 3 · Regular Season - 10
AubagnevsLe Puy Foot
Aubagne vs Le Puy Foot in Ligue 3 on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ligue 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Le Puy Foot are ranked 8 in National, with 13 points from 9 games.
Aubagne are ranked 16 in National, with 7 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche VF | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Rouen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Concarneau | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Versailles | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | Amiens | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | Cannes | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 |
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Le Puy Foot | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Thionville Lusitanos | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Fleury 91 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 | Gobelins | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Aubagne | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | Villefranche | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Aubagne vs Le Puy Foot
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Puy Foot | 1–2 | Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
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Match information
- Competition
- Ligue 3
- Venue
- Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Aubagne
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Le Puy Foot
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Aubagne vs Le Puy Foot: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Aubagne recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 13. Le Puy Foot recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 13 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Aubagne | Le Puy Foot |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Aubagne: (0.80 weighted goals scored + 1.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Le Puy Foot: (1.25 weighted goals scored + 1.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Aubagne recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Roche VFLigue 3 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Fleury 91Ligue 3 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| RouenLigue 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ConcarneauLigue 3 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| GobelinsLigue 3 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Bourg-en-bresse 01Ligue 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CaenLigue 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BastiaLigue 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Thionville LusitanosLigue 3 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BastiaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Aubagne’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Le Puy Foot recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thionville LusitanosLigue 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ValenciennesLigue 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| VillefrancheLigue 3 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| QuevillyLigue 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| OrleansLigue 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CannesLigue 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AmiensLigue 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| VersaillesLigue 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BastiaLigue 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| MontpellierFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from Le Puy Foot’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.