Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Group 4 - 7
Results Only
Aurrerá VitoriavsReal Sociedad III
Aurrerá Vitoria vs Real Sociedad III in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Aurrerá Vitoria are ranked 1 in Tercera: Group 4, with 13 points from 6 games.
Real Sociedad III are ranked 4 in Tercera: Group 4, with 11 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Leioa | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 12 |
| 3 | Derio | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad III | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Aretxabaleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Deportivo Alavés III | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Pasaia KE | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Touring | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Sodupe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | Durango | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Beasain | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Lagun Onak | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Erandio | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Santurtzi | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Eibar III | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 17 | R. Union B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Aurrerá Vitoria vs Real Sociedad III
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad III | 0–1 | Aurrerá Vitoria | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
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Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Aurrerá Vitoria
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Real Sociedad III
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Aurrerá Vitoria vs Real Sociedad III: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Aurrerá Vitoria recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 12. Real Sociedad III recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 25 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Aurrerá Vitoria | Real Sociedad III |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Aurrerá Vitoria: (1.53 weighted goals scored + 1.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.43 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Real Sociedad III: (2.33 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Aurrerá Vitoria recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeioaTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| ErandioTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SodupeTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo Alavés IIITercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| TouringTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Amurrio ClubTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| DeustoTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| PortugaleteTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| San IgnacioTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| DerioTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Aurrerá Vitoria’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Sociedad III recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amurrio ClubTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Eibar IIITercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| R. Union BTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Pasaia KETercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Lagun OnakTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| DerioTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AñorgaTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| DurangoTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| AretxabaletaTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| ZamudioTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Real Sociedad III’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.