Third League - Southwest · Southwest - 12
BelasitsavsCSKA Sofia III
Belasitsa vs CSKA Sofia III in Third League - Southwest on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Southwest — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
CSKA Sofia III are ranked 12 in Southwest, with 12 points from 10 games.
Belasitsa are ranked 14 in Southwest, with 11 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 26 |
| 2 | Oborishte | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Bansko | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Strumska Slava | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Septemvri Sofia II | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Balkan Botevgrad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | Kostinbrod | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 18 |
| 8 | Botev Ihtiman | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Slivnishki geroy | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Slavia Sofia II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | CSKA Sofia III | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Levski Sofia II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Belasitsa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Chavdar Etropole | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 10 |
| 16 | Kyustendil | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Belasitsa vs CSKA Sofia III
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Southwest
- Venue
- Stadion Tsar Samuil
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Belasitsa
No upcoming fixtures are available.
CSKA Sofia III
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Belasitsa vs CSKA Sofia III: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Belasitsa recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 17. CSKA Sofia III recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses, with 8 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Belasitsa | CSKA Sofia III |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Belasitsa: (1.08 weighted goals scored + 0.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
CSKA Sofia III: (0.71 weighted goals scored + 1.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.20 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Belasitsa recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| DobrudzhaCup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Strumska SlavaThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KostinbrodThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| OborishteThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| BanskoThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| FK Minyor PernikThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Belasitsa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
CSKA Sofia III recent form
0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KostinbrodThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Levski Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Slavia Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Botev IhtimanThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KyustendilThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Strumska SlavaThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| OborishteThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from CSKA Sofia III’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.