First League · Regular Season - 10
Results Only
Bregalnica ŠtipvsVardar Skopje
Bregalnica Štip vs Vardar Skopje in First League on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Vardar Skopje are ranked 3 in First League, with 17 points from 9 games.
Bregalnica Štip are ranked 7 in First League, with 10 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shkendija | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 20 |
| 2 | Struga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 17 |
| 3 | Vardar Skopje | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Tikveš | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 16 |
| 5 | Shkëndija Haraçinë | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 14 |
| 6 | Sileks | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Bregalnica Štip | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
| 8 | Aresimi | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
| 9 | Bashkimi Kumanovo | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
| 10 | Skopje | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Bregalnica Štip vs Vardar Skopje
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vardar Skopje | 2–0 | Bregalnica Štip | First League |
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Match information
- Competition
- First League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Bregalnica Štip
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Vardar Skopje
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Bregalnica Štip vs Vardar Skopje: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Bregalnica Štip recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Vardar Skopje recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 21 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Bregalnica Štip | Vardar Skopje |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Bregalnica Štip: (1.46 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.24 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Vardar Skopje: (2.24 weighted goals scored + 1.46 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.85 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Bregalnica Štip recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TikvešFirst League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SkopjeFirst League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SileksFirst League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| TeteksCup | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Shkëndija HaraçinëFirst League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| StrugaFirst League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Bashkimi KumanovoFirst League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| ShkendijaFirst League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| AresimiFirst League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Vardar SkopjeFirst League | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Bregalnica Štip’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Vardar Skopje recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SkopjeFirst League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Shkëndija HaraçinëFirst League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Bashkimi KumanovoFirst League | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| AresimiFirst League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Ovce PoleCup | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| TikvešFirst League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SileksFirst League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| StrugaFirst League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ShkendijaFirst League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| RigaUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Vardar Skopje’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.