Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 · Group 4 - 4
Ermis ExochivsIraklis Larissa
Ermis Exochi vs Iraklis Larissa in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ermis Exochi are ranked 5 in Group 4, with 4 points from 3 games.
Iraklis Larissa are ranked 11 in Group 4, with 0 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trikala | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Elassona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Anthoupoli | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Ermis Exochi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Karitsa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Pierikos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Feraios | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Sarakinos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 10 | Digenis Neochori | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 11 | Iraklis Larissa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Ermis Exochi vs Iraklis Larissa
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Ermis Exochi
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Iraklis Larissa
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Ermis Exochi vs Iraklis Larissa: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Ermis Exochi recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 15. Iraklis Larissa recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 5 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ermis Exochi | Iraklis Larissa |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ermis Exochi: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 2.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Iraklis Larissa: (0.48 weighted goals scored + 1.30 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ermis Exochi recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FeraiosGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ElassonaGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| AnthoupoliGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AlexandreiaGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Apollon PontouGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| VeriaGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| PierikosGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ethnikos Neou KeramidiouGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Asteras Kard.Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| Apollon PontouGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Ermis Exochi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Iraklis Larissa recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethnikos Neou KeramidiouGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| TrikalaGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PierikosGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| VeriaSuper League 2 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Makedonikos NeapolisSuper League 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Panathinaikos IISuper League 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| PanserraikosSuper League 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Iraklis 1908Super League 2 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| AlmoposSuper League 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ThesprotosSuper League 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Iraklis Larissa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.