National Soccer League · Regular Season - 5
53′
Etincelles0–2Marines
Etincelles vs Marines in National Soccer League on 17 October 2026 is in progress. The current score is 0–2. Scores and match status refresh automatically.
RealScored · Live match
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
EtincellesMarines
Statistics are updating; values will appear when available.
| Home | Statistic | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Goals | 2 |
| — | Corners | — |
| — | Corners (Half) | — |
| — | Yellow Card | — |
| — | Yellow/Red Card | — |
| — | Red Card | — |
| — | Offsides | — |
| — | Goal attempts | — |
| — | Saves | — |
| — | Shots blocked | — |
| — | Fouls | — |
| — | Penalties | — |
| — | Ball Safe | — |
| — | Injuries | — |
| — | Substitutions | — |
| — | Attacks | — |
| — | Dangerous Attacks | — |
| — | On Target | — |
| — | Off Target | — |
| — | Possession % | — |
| — | Total market value | — |
| — | Avg. market value | — |
| — | Avg. Age | — |
| — | National team players | — |
| — | Youth national team players | — |
| — | Foreigners | — |
An em dash means this statistic has not been supplied for the match.
Live scores refresh every 15 seconds. Match statistics and events update about once a minute.
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National Soccer League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Etincelles are ranked 2 in Regular Season, with 7 points from 4 games.
Marines are ranked 6 in Regular Season, with 4 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gicumbi | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Etincelles | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Mukura | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Sunrise | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gorilla | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Marines | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Amagaju | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Gasogi United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Kiyovu Sports | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | AS Kigali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | APR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Bugesera | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Police | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Musanze | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Al Merreikh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Rayon Sports | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Etoile de l'Est | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Etincelles vs Marines
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marines | 2–3 | Etincelles | National Soccer League |
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- National Soccer League
- Venue
- Umuganda Stadium
- Status
- Second Half
- Score
- 0–2
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Etincelles
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Marines
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Etincelles vs Marines: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Etincelles recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Marines recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 17 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Etincelles | Marines |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Etincelles: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 1.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.45 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Marines: (1.68 weighted goals scored + 0.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Etincelles recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BugeseraNational Soccer League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| MusanzeNational Soccer League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| GorillaNational Soccer League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| SunriseNational Soccer League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Al Hilal OmdurmanNational Soccer League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| GorillaNational Soccer League | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| MarinesNational Soccer League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Gasogi UnitedNational Soccer League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Al MerreikhNational Soccer League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| AmagajuNational Soccer League | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Etincelles’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Marines recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiyovu SportsNational Soccer League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| APRNational Soccer League | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| AS KigaliNational Soccer League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| MuhangaNational Soccer League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| MusanzeNational Soccer League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EtincellesNational Soccer League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Rayon SportsNational Soccer League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BugeseraNational Soccer League | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Gasogi UnitedNational Soccer League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| PoliceNational Soccer League | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Marines’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.