Premier League · Regular Season - 7
EvertonvsChelsea
Everton vs Chelsea in Premier League on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Everton are ranked 5 in Premier League, with 10 points from 6 games.
Chelsea are ranked 6 in Premier League, with 10 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 13 |
| 4 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 | Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Everton vs Chelsea
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Hill Dickinson Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
RealScored match analysis
Everton vs Chelsea: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Everton recorded 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 7. Chelsea recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 29 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Everton | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 29 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Everton: (1.53 weighted goals scored + 2.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Chelsea: (2.67 weighted goals scored + 0.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.68 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Everton recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull CityPremier League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| IpswichPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| WolvesLeague Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| TottenhamPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Manchester UnitedPremier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BournemouthPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PrestonLeague Cup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Crystal PalacePremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| LilleFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NewcastleFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Everton’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Chelsea recent form
2.90 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BournemouthPremier League | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| BrentfordPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Hull CityPremier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LeedsLeague Cup | Home | 6–3 | Won | |
| ArsenalPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BrightonPremier League | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| LutonLeague Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| FulhamPremier League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Real SociedadFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Johor Darul Takzim FCFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Chelsea’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.