J3 League · Regular Season - 11
Results Only
FC RyukyuvsTochigi SC
FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC in J3 League on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J3 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FC Ryukyu are ranked 14 in J3 League, with 11 points from 10 games.
Tochigi SC are ranked 15 in J3 League, with 10 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 23 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | FC Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Roasso Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 14 |
| 10 | Biwako Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Parceiro Nagano | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 13 |
| 13 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | FC Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 23 | -19 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- J3 League
- Venue
- Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
FC Ryukyu
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Tochigi SC
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
FC Ryukyu recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Tochigi SC recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 9 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FC Ryukyu | Tochigi SC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FC Ryukyu: (1.17 weighted goals scored + 1.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Tochigi SC: (0.75 weighted goals scored + 1.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.13 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Ryukyu recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thespakusatsu GunmaJ3 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KanazawaJ3 League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ehime FCJ3 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Biwako ShigaJ3 League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Kamatamare SanukiJ3 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| KitakyushuJ3 League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Yokohama FCJ-League Cup | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| SagamiharaJ3 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| OsakaJ3 League | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from FC Ryukyu’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Tochigi SC recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renofa YamaguchiJ3 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kamatamare SanukiJ3 League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Matsumoto YamagaJ3 League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Parceiro NaganoJ3 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Montedio YamagataJ-League Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kochi UnitedJ3 League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC GifuJ3 League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Kawasaki FrontaleEmperor Cup | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| KitakyushuJ3 League | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Tochigi SC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.