Veikkausliiga · Relegation Group - 27
Results Only
FF JarovsMariehamn
FF Jaro vs Mariehamn in Veikkausliiga on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Veikkausliiga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FF Jaro are ranked 11 in Veikkausliiga, with 15 points from 22 games.
Mariehamn are ranked 12 in Veikkausliiga, with 14 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 37 |
| 4 | Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 33 |
| 7 | Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Turku PS | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 | SJK | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 | FF Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 15 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 14 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Turku | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 52 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | KuPS | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 48 |
| 4 | Gnistan | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 42 |
| 5 | VPS | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 39 |
| 6 | AC Oulu | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 37 |
FF Jaro are ranked 5 in Relegration Group, with 20 points from 26 games.
Mariehamn are ranked 6 in Relegration Group, with 18 points from 26 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lahti | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 36 |
| 2 | Ilves | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 35 |
| 3 | Turku PS | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 32 |
| 4 | SJK | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 27 |
| 5 | FF Jaro | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 20 |
| 6 | Mariehamn | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 18 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
FF Jaro vs Mariehamn
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariehamn | 2–0 | FF Jaro | Veikkausliiga | |
| FF Jaro | 3–0 | Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- Veikkausliiga
- Venue
- Project Liv Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
RealScored match analysis
FF Jaro vs Mariehamn: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
FF Jaro recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 16. Mariehamn recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 13 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FF Jaro | Mariehamn |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FF Jaro: (0.65 weighted goals scored + 1.41 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mariehamn: (1.31 weighted goals scored + 1.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FF Jaro recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turku PSVeikkausliiga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| LahtiVeikkausliiga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SJKVeikkausliiga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IlvesVeikkausliiga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| MariehamnVeikkausliiga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AC OuluVeikkausliiga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| VPSVeikkausliiga | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| LahtiVeikkausliiga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SJKVeikkausliiga | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from FF Jaro’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mariehamn recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IlvesVeikkausliiga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SJKVeikkausliiga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Turku PSVeikkausliiga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| LahtiVeikkausliiga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FF JaroVeikkausliiga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| KuPSVeikkausliiga | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| SJKVeikkausliiga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| IlvesVeikkausliiga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Turku PSVeikkausliiga | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| AC OuluVeikkausliiga | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Mariehamn’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.