III Liga - Group 4 · Group IV - 13
JarosławvsKSZO 1929
Jarosław vs KSZO 1929 in III Liga - Group 4 on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
III Liga - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
KSZO 1929 are ranked 2 in Group IV, with 23 points from 12 games.
Jarosław are ranked 7 in Group IV, with 17 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 30 |
| 2 | KSZO 1929 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | Naprzód | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Wisłoka Dębica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 23 |
| 5 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Połaniec | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 20 |
| 7 | Jarosław | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Hetman Zamosc | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Wisła Kraków II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 16 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 14 |
| 13 | Sokół Kolb. | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Jarosław vs KSZO 1929
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- III Liga - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
RealScored match analysis
Jarosław vs KSZO 1929: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Jarosław recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 25 and conceding 17. KSZO 1929 recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, with 20 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Jarosław | KSZO 1929 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 25 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Jarosław: (2.54 weighted goals scored + 0.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
KSZO 1929: (1.99 weighted goals scored + 1.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.91 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Jarosław recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisła Kraków IIIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NaprzódIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Moravia MorawicaIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Wiślanie JaśkowiceIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Korona Kielce IIIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 6–2 | Won | |
| Star StarachowiceIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Podlasie Biała PodlaskaIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Siarka TarnobrzegIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| KS Wieczysta Krakow IIIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Jarosław’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
KSZO 1929 recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busko-ZdrojIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Czarni PołaniecIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hetman ZamoscIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Chełmianka ChełmIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Wisła Kraków IIIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| NaprzódIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Moravia MorawicaIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Wiślanie JaśkowiceIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Korona Kielce IIIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from KSZO 1929’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.