Championship · Regular Season - 11
MiddlesbroughvsCardiff
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff in Championship on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Middlesbrough are ranked 2 in Championship, with 21 points from 10 games.
Cardiff are ranked 18 in Championship, with 10 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
| 5 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 13 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Lincoln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 10 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 9 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- Championship
- Venue
- Riverside Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Middlesbrough
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Cardiff
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Middlesbrough recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 15. Cardiff recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 16 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Middlesbrough | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Middlesbrough: (2.06 weighted goals scored + 1.56 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cardiff: (1.58 weighted goals scored + 1.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.56 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Middlesbrough recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke CityChampionship | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| WolvesChampionship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BirminghamChampionship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MillwallChampionship | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| NorwichChampionship | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Crystal PalaceLeague Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| QPRChampionship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BurnleyChampionship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| West BromChampionship | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| DoncasterLeague Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Middlesbrough’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cardiff recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WatfordChampionship | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| BlackburnChampionship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CharltonChampionship | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| BoltonChampionship | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Stoke CityChampionship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PortsmouthChampionship | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| QPRChampionship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sheffield UtdChampionship | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| NorwichLeague Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| DerbyChampionship | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Cardiff’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.